Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.040781 0.044323 0.047893 0.051753 0.055803 0.059920 0.064416
2025-10-05 0.034279 0.039435 0.044809 0.050801 0.057274 0.064032 0.071599
2025-10-12 0.030070 0.036408 0.043212 0.051003 0.059622 0.068815 0.079311
2025-10-19 0.027038 0.034296 0.042296 0.051667 0.062246 0.073730 0.087048
2025-10-26 0.024576 0.032553 0.041562 0.052332 0.064706 0.078340 0.094361
2025-11-02 0.021132 0.029371 0.038925 0.050596 0.064252 0.079530 0.097721
2025-11-09 0.018856 0.027386 0.037517 0.050128 0.065117 0.082102 0.102548
2025-11-16 0.016983 0.025742 0.036383 0.049865 0.066121 0.084754 0.107403
2025-11-23 0.016173 0.025365 0.036735 0.051338 0.069138 0.089718 0.114913
2025-11-30 0.015301 0.024833 0.036835 0.052456 0.071696 0.094125 0.121769
2025-12-07 0.014332 0.024098 0.036621 0.053138 0.073691 0.097844 0.127808
2025-12-14 0.013207 0.023072 0.035969 0.053216 0.074908 0.100608 0.132703
2025-12-21 0.012594 0.022741 0.036229 0.054477 0.077631 0.105247 0.139922
2025-12-28 0.011254 0.021290 0.034938 0.053699 0.077786 0.106772 0.143426
2026-01-04 0.010421 0.020515 0.034512 0.054006 0.079275 0.109902 0.148851
2026-01-11 0.009805 0.020020 0.034433 0.054741 0.081288 0.113664 0.155038
2026-01-18 0.009231 0.019547 0.034354 0.055453 0.083258 0.117369 0.161159
2026-01-25 0.007937 0.017842 0.032460 0.053663 0.081956 0.116983 0.162268
2026-02-01 0.007141 0.016872 0.031565 0.053182 0.082314 0.118635 0.165848
2026-02-08 0.006468 0.016054 0.030849 0.052912 0.082919 0.120579 0.169776
2026-02-15 0.006311 0.016112 0.031429 0.054442 0.085902 0.125527 0.177433
2026-02-22 0.006070 0.016005 0.031749 0.055602 0.088395 0.129861 0.184341
2026-03-01 0.005737 0.015704 0.031757 0.056309 0.090278 0.133422 0.190293